No city or large town has been left unaffected by the impacts of Covid-19, which has sent shockwaves through the UK labour market and in some cases heightened existing inequalities to do with unemployment and skills.
Between March 2020 and Jan 2021, 1.3 million people lost their jobs as a result of Coronavirus. Although some parts of the country are now beginning to stabilise, significant challenges remain. What is clear is that places up and down the country have reacted differently to the reopening of the economy and the lifting of restrictions. Now that the furlough scheme has officially ended, the next steps for the Government will be to implement policies that get those who have lost their jobs back into the labour market and support industries that have been hit the hardest.
Claimant count has fallen across almost all cities between September and October with the exception of Slough. Trends for this month did not have a noticeable geographic patter in terms of cities’ locations or industrial composition. Although the continued fall in unemployment is welcome, to ensure a swift bounce back of the economy, the Government now needs to support those who have been affected by Covid-19 to return to work.
In the run-up to the end of furlough, several places remained heavily reliant on the scheme and still had high take-up rates. These included places like Crawley and Slough due to their reliance on the travel and aviation sectors, a pattern which has stayed consistent throughout the pandemic.
Take up rates were also consistently high in big cities like London, Glasgow and Birmingham, likely due to a large proportion of office workers continuing to work from home which then limited consumer spending and economic activity in city centres.
Our recent research reveals that as we begin to recover from the pandemic, job growth is unevenly spread across the country, with postings in cities and towns in the North and Midlands outperforming those in the South and South East. Barnsley, Mansfield and Stoke have recorded some of the strongest job posting recovery to date, whilst Aberdeen, Belfast and Crawley have experienced the weakest, with London also lagging behind.
Job creation is the most pressing policy challenge we now face. According to our latest research in partnership with HSBC UK, almost 10 million new jobs will need to be generated to recover from the pandemic. This research looked at patterns of the past, specifically the UK’s jobs miracle between 2013 and 2019, to highlight how cities will play a particularly important role in the UK’s recovery, representing the main job creators post-Covid.
Centre for Cities’ Cities Outlook 2021 highlighted the stark inequalities that exist in terms of access to job opportunities and education across the UK. Much of this inequality comes down to differences in industrial structure within cities, as shown by City Monitor. For example, London is home to almost 25 per cent of knowledge intensive private-sector jobs, compared to just over 5 per cent in Burnley. If the Government is to successfully address this inequality, its levelling up agenda should focus on investing in skills and improving office working space and city-region transport infrastructure to attract more high-knowledge businesses to underperforming places.
While unemployment is on the rise everywhere, some parts of the country have been hit hard by Covid—19 more than others.
Guilherme Rodrigues analyses the latest claimant count and job postings data and warns that some cities look particularly vulnerable as we approach the end of the furlough scheme.
Data from this month's update shows a recovery in all cities and large towns, however, significant challenges remain for places.
Nine out of 63 cities and large towns have recovered to their pre-pandemic level of job postings, with the North and Midlands outperforming the South and South East.
Data from this month's update shows signs of recovery in most cities and large towns, but for a few, significant challenges remain.
While the take-up of the Job Retention Scheme has increased everywhere in January to reflect the third lockdown, there are signs that things are less bad than during the first one.
Despite claimant count remaining unchanged or declining in almost every city and large town over the past month, places are entering this second lockdown in a much weaker position than in March.
Covid-19 is reshaping the economy, changing demand as well as ways of working.
New Job Retention Scheme data shows that firms in different places are taking varying decisions as to how to deal with the current uncertainty. This has implications for their ability to recover as the lockdown ends.
Uncertainty for self-employed people, home-working and the importance of agglomeration – the impact of Coronavirus on employment will be felt differently across the UK
Sunday’s announcement from the Prime Minister encouraging workers who cannot work from home to go back to work will be felt most in the North and Midlands.
In the UK, competition for jobs has risen most in places where work was already hardest to find, raising concerns about widening geographic inequality.
This report examines the pattern of private sector growth within the UK’s seven-year jobs miracle to inform how new jobs can be created as the Government looks to ‘build back better’ and level up the country.
Covid-savings and debt are unevenly distributed across the country, risking an uneven recovery as restrictions are lifted.
Technological changes, globalisation and other labour market trends, compounded with Covid—19, are reshaping the world of work, with implications for policy.
Nobody yet knows what the future of post-pandemic work looks like, but it may not be as different as some expect.
The Prime Minister’s adult skills announcements are a welcome step to support people adapt to the changing labour market while helping places ‘level up’ – the next step should be investment in job creation.
While it may be comfortable for many older workers to remain at home, doing so risks limiting the professional development of the next generation.
There is a concern that school closures – albeit necessary for public health reasons – will further widen the gap between children living in disadvantaged areas and their better off peers.
How should the Government roll back its support in a way that allows growth to occur across the country?
As robots take over the world of work, this report investigates the types of skills that humans will increasingly need to succeed in the future.
Cities can offer low-skilled people good economic outcomes that support inclusive growth aims, but inclusive growth cannot come without economic growth.
Read the full report hereShowing 1–10 of 114 results.
As the labour market stabilises, claimant count rates in all cities still remain higher than they were pre-pandemic, impacting both the levelling up agenda and the current cost of living crisis.
The last couple of months have shown a stabilisation of claimant count after consecutive months of improvement. The UK’s largest cities show relatively high claimant count rates.
Analysis from our High Streets Recovery Tracker on how people react when remote-working guidance is lifted, and what that tells us about what to expect next.
Chief Executive Andrew Carter is joined by Senior Analyst Kathrin Enenkel and Analyst Valentine Quinio to unpack the main findings and implications of Cities Outlook 2022
The most recent data suggests that a post-furlough unemployment surge may have been avoided and several cities in the North and Midlands are leading the recovery. However, this is far from achieving levelling up.
Valentine Quinio compares footfall data in Birmingham city centre with eight surrounding town centres in the West Midlands to monitor recovery
The third and final event of our three-part series held in partnership with L&G discussed the future of leisure and amenities in cities.
Reflections from the first of our 'Future of Cities' events, in partnership with L&G
There were still 1.1 million people on furlough in September, and almost one third of them were in London, Birmingham and Manchester.
While an increase in the National Living Wage would help people in economically weaker places, it will not address the structural problems they face which cause low wages in the first place
