Expect gradual reform rather than fireworks

Date: 25/01/2007
Publication: Local Government Chornicle

It is 10 years since Gordon Brown walked into the Treasury. Within days, he pulled off the major coup of Bank of England Independence - and his first Budget two months later set out his vision for the whole of New Labour's economic agenda.

Now, he's about to walk into No 10. And we're all trying to work out what his first 100 days will deliver. Will local government be a priority? Who will he put in charge at the Department for Communities and Local Government? And what might this mean for our towns and cities?

Mr Brown seems intent on some form of constitutional reform, but it is not yet clear how far that will extend into local government.

Optimists say he is going to surprise us with a major new approach on devolution. What better way to counter those accusations of control-freakery than to unleash a wave a devolution from Whitehall?

But I suspect this isn't going to happen, and instead local government will continue on its long journey of incremental reform. However, I do expect some changes in Whitehall. Mr Brown will find it hard to resist moving a few departments around.

As far as local government is concerned, a lot will depend on his choice of secretary of state. Will it be Ed Balls, John Healey or Ruth Kelly? Each would mark a different approach, and a different level of commitment from No 10.

And what about the unfinished business of Sir Michael Lyons and the comprehensive spending review? As chancellor, Mr Brown has never really seen local government as a priority. From No 10, he may feel able to be more radical on key issues like financial devolution.

But as his closest advisers say, "radical incrementalism" is the way forward - so we should expect that, rather than fireworks.